Hinckley, MN 55037 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 55
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Home Value
$197,472
+4.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
55
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.9 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
60 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
32%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
23%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
41%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$109
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 41% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 4.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 22% below the 2017-19 norm, still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (55/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.9% below their final list price; 32% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 23% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $52k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,766 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $109 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +12% over the next 12 months (80% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.8% to +12.5% (80% range; middle estimate +5.4%), chance of a rise 80%, of a 5%+ drop 7%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Pine County, MN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rock Creek, MN 55063 | $296.7K | +4.2% | 29 |
| Sandstone, MN 55072 | $232K | +5.4% | 20 |
| Sturgeon Lake, MN 55783 | $273.8K | +3.3% | 72 |
| Finlayson, MN 55735 | $277.9K | +5.0% | 30 |
| Willow River, MN 55795 | $253.2K | +5.1% | 54 |
| Grasston, MN 55030 | $300.6K | +5.1% | 46 |
| Bruno, MN 55704 | $240.6K | +7.2% | 50 |
| Bruno, MN 55712 | $228K | +7.8% | 22 |
| Kerrick, MN 55756 | $224.9K | −2.9% | 2 |
| Henriette, MN 55036 | – | – | 1 |