Ely, MN 55731 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 89
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Home Value
$284,621
+6.6% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
89
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
8.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
87 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
23%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
94.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
36%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
33%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$115
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 33% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 6.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 42% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+9% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (89/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 5.8% below their final list price; 23% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 36% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $73k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,640 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $115 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (65% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.0% to +9.3% (80% range; middle estimate +2.3%), chance of a rise 65%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Lake County, MN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Two Harbors, MN 55616 | $296.1K | +5.2% | 52 |
| Finland, MN 55614 | $188.6K | +1.2% | 80 |
| Isabella, MN 55603 | $239.8K | +4.8% | 99 |
| Isabella, MN 55607 | $211.3K | +3.0% | 88 |
| Winton, MN 55796 | – | – | 27 |
| Knife River, MN 55609 | $423.7K | +8.6% | 23 |
| Beaver Bay, MN 55601 | $357.2K | +6.9% | 97 |