Waterville, MN 56096 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 40
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Home Value
$323,658
+1.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
40
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
44 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
50%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.8%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
29%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
20%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$167
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 20% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 10% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+80% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (40/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.2% below their final list price; 50% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 29% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $84k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,036 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $167 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (60% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.8% to +8.5% (80% range; middle estimate +1.4%), chance of a rise 60%, of a 5%+ drop 17%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Le Sueur County, MN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Prague, MN 56071 | $425.6K | +2.9% | 29 |
| Le Sueur, MN 56058 | $306.8K | +2.4% | 69 |
| Montgomery, MN 56069 | $326.7K | +2.2% | 47 |
| Le Center, MN 56057 | $323.6K | +3.3% | 48 |
| Cleveland, MN 56017 | $386.3K | +2.4% | 34 |
| Kasota, MN 56050 | $355.7K | +2.3% | 92 |
| Elysian, MN 56028 | $423.4K | +2.0% | 92 |
| Kilkenny, MN 56052 | $401.3K | +5.6% | 30 |