Willmar, MN 56201 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 59
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Home Value
$242,620
+0.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
59
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.7 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
54 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
27%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
28%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$929/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
20%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$74
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 20% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 0.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 4% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+64% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (59/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.0% below their final list price; 27% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 28% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $65k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,036 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $703/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $74 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (56% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.5% to +7.9% (80% range; middle estimate +0.8%), chance of a rise 56%, of a 5%+ drop 19%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Kandiyohi County, MN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| New London, MN 56273 | $335.3K | +3.2% | 31 |
| Spicer, MN 56288 | $401.1K | +2.8% | 68 |
| Atwater, MN 56209 | $286.1K | +3.0% | 21 |
| Raymond, MN 56282 | $257.1K | +3.5% | 24 |
| Pennock, MN 56279 | $305.4K | +3.4% | 6 |
| Kandiyohi, MN 56251 | $278.2K | +0.9% | 2 |
| Prinsburg, MN 56281 | $232.5K | +1.2% | 3 |
| Lake Lillian, MN 56253 | $305.9K | +2.9% | 75 |
| Sunburg, MN 56289 | $358.6K | +8.2% | 1 |
| Blomkest, MN 56216 | – | – | 41 |