Thief River Falls, MN 56701 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 57
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Home Value
$188,328
−2.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
57
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
72 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
22%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
20%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,228/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-28%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$271
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 28% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are down 2.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 12% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 16% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+21% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (57/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.0% below their final list price; 22% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 20% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $52k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,696 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Owning and renting a typical home cost about the same per month.
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $271 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (58% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.2% to +8.1% (80% range; middle estimate +1.1%), chance of a rise 58%, of a 5%+ drop 18%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Pennington County, MN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goodridge, MN 56725 | – | – | 36 |
| Saint Hilaire, MN 56754 | – | – | 28 |