Sioux Falls, SD 57104 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 25
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Home Value
$223,085
−0.6% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
25
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.3 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
36 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
13%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.3%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
31%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,287/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
28%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$116
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 28% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 0.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 10% below the 2017-19 norm, still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (25/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.7% below their final list price; 13% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 31% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $60k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,897 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $222/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $116 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +9% over the next 12 months (61% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.8% to +8.6% (80% range; middle estimate +1.5%), chance of a rise 61%, of a 5%+ drop 16%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Minnehaha County, SD
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sioux Falls, SD 57106 | $333.9K | +1.5% | 36 |
| Sioux Falls, SD 57103 | $288.9K | +0.1% | 24 |
| Sioux Falls, SD 57110 | $429.9K | +1.3% | 62 |
| Sioux Falls, SD 57105 | $286.9K | +0.1% | 32 |
| Sioux Falls, SD 57107 | $327.8K | +1.6% | 34 |
| Brandon, SD 57005 | $395.4K | +1.9% | 31 |
| Hartford, SD 57033 | $409.4K | +3.4% | 58 |
| Dell Rapids, SD 57022 | $373.6K | +4.2% | 23 |
| Beaver Creek, SD 57030 | $395.4K | +4.9% | 16 |
| Baltic, SD 57003 | $367K | +4.9% | 20 |
| Crooks, SD 57020 | $374.2K | +3.2% | 68 |
| Valley Springs, SD 57068 | $354.2K | +3.9% | 9 |
| Humboldt, SD 57035 | $335.4K | +3.6% | 14 |
| Colton, SD 57018 | $311.3K | +6.3% | 2 |
| Renner, SD 57055 | $511.2K | +7.1% | 37 |
| ZIP 57197 | – | – | – |
| Lyons, SD 57041 | – | – | 36 |
| ZIP 57117 | – | – | – |