Custer, SD 57730 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 45
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Home Value
$477,982
+0.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
45
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.1 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
63 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
12%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
94.3%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
43%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
28%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$225
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 28% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 0.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 24% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−20% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (45/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 5.7% below their final list price; 12% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 43% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $118k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,149 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $225 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from wildfire.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +9% over the next 12 months (61% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.7% to +8.6% (80% range; middle estimate +1.6%), chance of a rise 61%, of a 5%+ drop 16%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Custer County, SD
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hermosa, SD 57744 | $606.5K | −0.7% | 78 |
| Fairburn, SD 57738 | – | – | 33 |
| Pringle, SD 57773 | – | – | 9 |