Hill City, SD 57745 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 78
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Home Value
$481,724
+3.3% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
78
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
8.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
82 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
43%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.4%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
42%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
40%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$280
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 40% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.3% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 32% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+5% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (78/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.6% below their final list price; 43% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 42% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $123k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,149 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $280 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +11% over the next 12 months (73% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.6% to +10.7% (80% range; middle estimate +3.7%), chance of a rise 73%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Pennington County, SD
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rapid City, SD 57701 | $301.4K | +1.2% | 49 |
| Rapid City, SD 57702 | $452.1K | +3.3% | 42 |
| Rapid City, SD 57703 | $358.9K | +2.5% | 68 |
| Wall, SD 57790 | $315K | +2.6% | 57 |
| Keystone, SD 57751 | $531.7K | +3.6% | 76 |
| Quinn, SD 57775 | – | – | – |
| Caputa, SD 57725 | – | – | 34 |
| Scenic, SD 57780 | – | – | – |