Hardin, MT 59034 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 49
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Home Value
$226,025
+4.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
49
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
85 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
30%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
47%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$122
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 47% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 4.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 27% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−21% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (49/100; U.S.: 54): 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 30% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $61k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,144 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $122 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (75% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.0% to +11.3% (80% range; middle estimate +4.3%), chance of a rise 75%, of a 5%+ drop 10%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Big Horn County, MT
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crow Agency, MT 59022 | – | – | 18 |
| Lodge Grass, MT 59050 | $191.9K | −0.1% | 74 |
| Busby, MT 59016 | – | – | – |
| ZIP 59089 | – | – | – |
| Pryor, MT 59066 | – | – | 19 |
| ZIP 59031 | – | – | – |
| Pompeys Pillar, MT 59064 | – | – | 22 |
| Fort Smith, MT 59035 | – | – | 21 |
| Saint Xavier, MT 59075 | – | – | 29 |
| Decker, MT 59025 | – | – | – |