Red Lodge, MT 59068 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 85
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Home Value
$526,115
+2.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
85
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
7.1 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
130 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
11%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
134.2%
Jan 2024
Mtg Payment as % of Income
47%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
22%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$370
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 22% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 8% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+10% vs. a year ago), close to pre-pandemic levels.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (85/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (134.2% of list) (as of Jan 2024); 11% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 47% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $126k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,036 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $370 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (64% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.2% to +9.1% (80% range; middle estimate +2.1%), chance of a rise 64%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Carbon County, MT
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joliet, MT 59041 | $546.3K | +7.2% | 95 |
| Bridger, MT 59014 | $404.7K | +5.6% | 70 |
| Roberts, MT 59070 | $578.4K | +4.8% | 52 |
| Fromberg, MT 59029 | $390K | +9.1% | 99 |
| Belfry, MT 59008 | $426.3K | +0.7% | 69 |
| ZIP 59013 | – | – | 30 |
| Bearcreek, MT 59007 | – | – | 6 |
| Edgar, MT 59026 | – | – | 4 |
| Fishtail, MT 59071 | $519.1K | +13.6% | 35 |