Scobey, MT 59263 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 88
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Home Value
$160,404
+7.3% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
88
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.1 months
Oct 2025
Days on Market
154 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
25%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
54%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$44
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 54% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 7.3% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), but still 8% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 200% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−38% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (88/100; U.S.: 54): 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 25% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $45k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,144 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $44 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +12% over the next 12 months (79% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.2% to +12.1% (80% range; middle estimate +5.1%), chance of a rise 79%, of a 5%+ drop 8%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Daniels County, MT
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flaxville, MT 59222 | $194.8K | +9.5% | – |
| ZIP 59253 | – | – | – |
| Whitetail, MT 59276 | – | – | 14 |