Choteau, MT 59422 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 48
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Home Value
$305,549
+5.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
48
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.1 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
102 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
13%
Sep 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
35%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
34%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$136
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 34% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 5.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 56% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−33% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (48/100; U.S.: 54): 13% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 35% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $78k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,036 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $136 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (73% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.5% to +10.9% (80% range; middle estimate +3.8%), chance of a rise 73%, of a 5%+ drop 10%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Teton County, MT
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield, MT 59436 | $443.9K | +11.0% | 25 |
| Power, MT 59468 | $499.1K | +10.2% | 39 |
| Dutton, MT 59433 | $283.7K | +7.4% | 51 |
| Pendroy, MT 59467 | – | – | 72 |
| Bynum, MT 59419 | – | – | 45 |