Shelby, MT 59474 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 86
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Home Value
$182,147
+1.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
86
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
10.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
83 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
17%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
105.0%
Mar 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
26%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
25%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$80
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 25% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 15% below the 2017-19 norm, still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (86/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (105.0% of list) (as of Mar 2026); 17% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 26% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $49k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,036 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $80 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (68% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.5% to +9.9% (80% range; middle estimate +2.8%), chance of a rise 68%, of a 5%+ drop 13%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Toole County, MT
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunburst, MT 59482 | – | – | 86 |
| ZIP 59444 | – | – | – |
| Kevin, MT 59454 | – | – | 11 |
| ZIP 59466 | – | – | – |
| Sweet Grass, MT 59484 | – | – | 57 |
| Ethridge, MT 59435 | – | – | 39 |