Belgrade, MT 59714 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 75
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Home Value
$552,883
−0.6% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
75
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
54 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
24%
Sep 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
41%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$2,256/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
38%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$127
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 38% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 0.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 4% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 9% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−16% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (75/100; U.S.: 54): 24% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 41% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $133k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,892 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $1,059/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $127 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (64% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.2% to +9.1% (80% range; middle estimate +2.1%), chance of a rise 64%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Gallatin County, MT
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bozeman, MT 59718 | $643.4K | −0.6% | 79 |
| Bozeman, MT 59715 | $880.2K | +1.8% | 91 |
| Manhattan, MT 59741 | $678K | +3.1% | 82 |
| Three Forks, MT 59752 | $555.4K | +1.7% | 98 |
| Gallatin Gateway, MT 59730 | $1.4M | +5.7% | 100 |
| West Yellowstone, MT 59758 | $657.4K | +5.3% | 55 |
| Three Forks, MT 59760 | $524.4K | +4.9% | 23 |