Big Sky, MT 59716 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 81
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Home Value
$1.9M
+5.1% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
81
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
13.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
97 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
4.1%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
101.8%
Apr 2022
Mtg Payment as % of Income
90%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
21%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$179
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 21% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 5.1% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 3% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−5% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (81/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (101.8% of list) (as of Apr 2022); 4% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 90% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $424k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,807 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $179 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +11% over the next 12 months (72% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.8% to +10.6% (80% range; middle estimate +3.5%), chance of a rise 72%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Madison County, MT
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ennis, MT 59729 | $664.7K | +2.3% | 96 |
| Sheridan, MT 59749 | $508.4K | +5.1% | 100 |
| Twin Bridges, MT 59754 | $502.4K | +7.0% | 99 |
| Harrison, MT 59735 | – | – | 99 |
| McAllister, MT 59740 | $810.2K | −2.1% | 95 |
| Alder, MT 59710 | – | – | 71 |
| Cameron, MT 59720 | $824K | +2.3% | 35 |
| Silver Star, MT 59751 | – | – | 92 |
| Virginia City, MT 59755 | – | – | 36 |
| Pony, MT 59747 | – | – | 4 |
| Norris, MT 59745 | – | – | 25 |