Hamilton, MT 59840 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 78
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Home Value
$537,050
+0.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
78
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
6.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
66 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
20%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
94.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
61%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
42%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$215
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 42% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 0.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 18% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+29% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (78/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 5.5% below their final list price; 20% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 61% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $126k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,696 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $215 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from wildfire.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (65% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.0% to +9.3% (80% range; middle estimate +2.3%), chance of a rise 65%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Ravalli County, MT
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stevensville, MT 59870 | $621.1K | +0.6% | 86 |
| Florence, MT 59833 | $656.6K | +0.9% | 96 |
| Corvallis, MT 59828 | $664.6K | +2.1% | 95 |
| Corvallis, MT 59875 | $659.1K | +1.2% | 90 |
| Darby, MT 59829 | $565.5K | +2.5% | 82 |
| Pinesdale, MT 59841 | – | – | – |
| Conner, MT 59827 | $538K | −0.1% | 4 |
| Sula, MT 59871 | $415K | −0.2% | 64 |