Hot Springs, MT 59845 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 96
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Home Value
$263,622
+2.0% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
96
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
13.9 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
100 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
29%
Sep 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
62%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
88%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$182
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 88% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.0% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 36% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+20% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (96/100; U.S.: 54): 29% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 62% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $66k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,663 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $182 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (71% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.9% to +10.4% (80% range; middle estimate +3.4%), chance of a rise 71%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Sanders County, MT
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plains, MT 59859 | $461.4K | +5.0% | 79 |
| Thompson Falls, MT 59873 | $444.3K | +5.2% | 88 |
| Trout Creek, MT 59874 | $604.6K | +4.6% | 91 |
| Noxon, MT 59853 | $503K | +3.8% | 50 |
| Heron, MT 59844 | $559.5K | +5.0% | 47 |
| Dixon, MT 59831 | – | – | 53 |
| Plains, MT 59856 | $257.2K | −2.2% | 29 |
| Lonepine, MT 59848 | – | – | 88 |