Troy, MT 59935 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 73
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Home Value
$417,273
−0.3% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
73
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
10.3 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
109 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
12%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.9%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
74%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
109%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$221
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 109% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are flat over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 33% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−6% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (73/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.1% below their final list price; 12% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 74% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $98k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $221 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +10% over the next 12 months (67% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.7% to +9.6% (80% range; middle estimate +2.6%), chance of a rise 67%, of a 5%+ drop 13%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Lincoln County, MT
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Libby, MT 59923 | $345.4K | −2.6% | 97 |
| Eureka, MT 59917 | $531.5K | +2.4% | 98 |
| Trego, MT 59930 | $495.4K | −0.3% | 91 |
| Trego, MT 59934 | $539K | +3.5% | 32 |
| Eureka, MT 59918 | $497K | +0.1% | 66 |
| Stryker, MT 59933 | – | – | – |