Noble, IL 62868 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 12
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Home Value
$129,007
+10.1% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
12
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.1 months
Jul 2026
Days on Market
8 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
89.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
18%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
18%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$147
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 18% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 10.1% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), but still 5% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 79% below the 2017-19 norm: still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (12/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 10.8% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 18% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $38k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $147 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +11% over the next 12 months (72% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.7% to +10.6% (80% range; middle estimate +3.6%), chance of a rise 72%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Richland County, IL
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olney, IL 62450 | $133.5K | +9.8% | 36 |
| Dundas, IL 62425 | $160.2K | +18.0% | 41 |
| Parkersburg, IL 62452 | $120K | +3.3% | 23 |
| Claremont, IL 62421 | $180.1K | +8.9% | 5 |
| Calhoun, IL 62419 | – | – | 1 |