Pittsburg, IL 62974 housing market

What this means

• Valuation. Prices are 5% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
• Prices. Home values are down 5.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
• Supply. Listings are 25% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+300% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
• Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (35/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.7% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
• Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 20% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $42k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,696 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
• Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $204 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155).
• Outlook. No clear direction: likely −10% to +7% over the next 12 months (46% chance of a rise).

Next 12 months

No clear direction

A fall is somewhat more likely than a rise, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.7% to +6.6% (80% range; middle estimate −0.4%), chance of a rise 46%, of a 5%+ drop 23%.

HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.

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