Overland, MO 63114 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 22
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Home Value
$141,340
+3.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
22
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.1 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
45 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
25%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.4%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
23%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,268/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
55%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$115
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 55% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 35% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+32% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (22/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.6% below their final list price; 25% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 23% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $42k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,696 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $217/mo less than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $115 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +12% over the next 12 months (80% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.9% to +12.4% (80% range; middle estimate +5.3%), chance of a rise 80%, of a 5%+ drop 7%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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