Hawk Point, MO 63349 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 11
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Home Value
$326,810
+4.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
11
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
0.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
101 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Aug 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.9%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
30%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
37%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$145
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 37% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 4.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 100% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−100% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (11/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.1% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 30% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $80k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,640 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $145 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −3% to +13% over the next 12 months (82% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.3% to +13.1% (80% range; middle estimate +6.0%), chance of a rise 82%, of a 5%+ drop 6%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Lincoln County, MO
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troy, MO 63379 | $320.2K | +5.2% | 29 |
| Moscow Mills, MO 63362 | $345.5K | +2.5% | 27 |
| Winfield, MO 63389 | $286.8K | +6.5% | 16 |
| Elsberry, MO 63343 | $216.6K | +8.4% | 32 |
| Silex, MO 63377 | $385.8K | +5.2% | 58 |
| Foley, MO 63347 | $272.2K | +8.4% | 74 |
| Old Monroe, MO 63369 | $348.1K | +7.2% | 25 |
| ZIP 63387 | – | – | 74 |