Warrenton, MO 63383 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 45
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Home Value
$304,268
+2.3% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
45
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.3 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
47 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
30%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
30%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
9.1%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$121
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+9% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.3% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 32% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+30% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (45/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.9% below their final list price; 30% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 30% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $75k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,640 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $121 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (65% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.1% to +9.2% (80% range; middle estimate +2.1%), chance of a rise 65%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Warren County, MO
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wright City, MO 63390 | $349.5K | +1.5% | 39 |
| Marthasville, MO 63357 | $342.3K | +1.2% | 25 |
| Jonesburg, MO 63351 | $288.6K | +7.0% | 81 |
| Truesdale, MO 63380 | $304.9K | +4.9% | 43 |
| Truxton, MO 63381 | $339K | +12.7% | 48 |