Tarkio, MO 64491 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 25
Open on the mapMarket report (PDF)Compare
Home Value
$126,617
−1.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
25
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
78 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
19%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
23%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$188
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 23% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 1.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 43% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−50% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (25/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.3% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 19% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $37k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $188 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (64% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.2% to +9.1% (80% range; middle estimate +2.1%), chance of a rise 64%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
Follow Tarkio, MO 64491
One email a month: what changed in prices, supply and the outlook. Unsubscribe any time.
Other ZIP codes in Atchison County, MO
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rock Port, MO 64482 | $171.4K | +7.5% | 66 |
| Fairfax, MO 64446 | – | – | 33 |
| Watson, MO 64496 | – | – | – |
| Westboro, MO 64498 | – | – | 49 |