Pineville, MO 64856 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 63
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Home Value
$258,920
+3.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
63
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
6.9 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
73 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
22%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
41%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
59%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$290
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 59% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 11% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−27% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (63/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.3% below their final list price; 22% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 41% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $62k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,766 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $290 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (65% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.1% to +9.2% (80% range; middle estimate +2.1%), chance of a rise 65%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in McDonald County, MO
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson, MO 64831 | $238.2K | +6.6% | 80 |
| Noel, MO 64854 | $199.6K | +8.4% | 99 |
| Goodman, MO 64843 | $211.3K | +7.1% | 70 |
| South West City, MO 64863 | $190.5K | +2.0% | 54 |
| Fairview, MO 64861 | $275.5K | +7.9% | 99 |
| Stella, MO 64867 | $276K | +5.1% | 36 |
| Lanagan, MO 64847 | – | – | 56 |
| ZIP 64868 | – | – | – |
| Powell, MO 65730 | – | – | 59 |