Sturgeon, MO 65243 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 37
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Home Value
$395,012
+8.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
37
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.1 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
29 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
40%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
42%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
96%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$127
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 96% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 8.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 21% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+67% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (37/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.9% below their final list price; 40% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 42% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $96k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,642 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $127 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −2% to +15% over the next 12 months (87% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −1.6% to +14.7% (80% range; middle estimate +7.6%), chance of a rise 87%, of a 5%+ drop 4%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Randolph County, MO
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moberly, MO 65270 | $162.4K | +4.8% | 31 |
| Huntsville, MO 65259 | $218.2K | +8.2% | 32 |
| Cairo, MO 65239 | $276.8K | +7.7% | 65 |
| Higbee, MO 65257 | $229.7K | +14.4% | 37 |
| Excello, MO 65260 | $270.1K | +10.7% | 49 |
| Clifton Hill, MO 65244 | $241K | +12.0% | 31 |
| ZIP 65278 | – | – | 68 |