Ash Grove, MO 65604 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 96
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Home Value
$261,912
+3.3% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
96
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
108 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
24%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
103.1%
Apr 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
29%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
58%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$127
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 58% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.3% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 70% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+62% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (96/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (103.1% of list) (as of Apr 2026); 24% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 29% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $65k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,767 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $127 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (75% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.1% to +11.2% (80% range; middle estimate +4.1%), chance of a rise 75%, of a 5%+ drop 10%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Greene County, MO
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Springfield, MO 65807 | $234.8K | +3.0% | 20 |
| Springfield, MO 65802 | $210.2K | +3.2% | 19 |
| Springfield, MO 65803 | $190.6K | +3.4% | 21 |
| Springfield, MO 65804 | $268.1K | +2.8% | 51 |
| Springfield, MO 65810 | $355.2K | +2.6% | 38 |
| Republic, MO 65738 | $268.4K | +2.5% | 60 |
| Rogersville, MO 65742 | $332.6K | +4.8% | 65 |
| Springfield, MO 65806 | $137K | −0.2% | 22 |
| Springfield, MO 65809 | $449.4K | +2.8% | 75 |
| Willard, MO 65781 | $275.4K | +2.4% | 31 |
| Battlefield, MO 65619 | $316.3K | +4.3% | 42 |
| Strafford, MO 65757 | $316.8K | +4.4% | 53 |
| Fair Grove, MO 65648 | $316K | +5.4% | 8 |
| ZIP 65897 | – | – | – |
| Walnut Grove, MO 65770 | $315.4K | +7.0% | 79 |
| Bois D Arc, MO 65612 | $369.9K | +6.7% | 16 |
| ZIP 65801 | – | – | – |