Marionville, MO 65705 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 53
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Home Value
$222,292
−2.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
53
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
57 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
94.7%
Jan 2025
Mtg Payment as % of Income
27%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
40%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$158
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 40% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 2.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 68% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+90% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (53/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 5.3% below their final list price (as of Jan 2025); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 27% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $56k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,666 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $158 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (74% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.4% to +10.9% (80% range; middle estimate +3.9%), chance of a rise 74%, of a 5%+ drop 10%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Lawrence County, MO
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Vernon, MO 65712 | $232.1K | +1.4% | 74 |
| Granby, MO 65723 | $214.1K | +2.9% | 94 |
| Miller, MO 65707 | $201.4K | +3.8% | 38 |
| Wentworth, MO 64873 | $299.8K | +8.7% | 47 |
| Stotts City, MO 65756 | $229.6K | +3.4% | 5 |
| La Russell, MO 64848 | $296.5K | +7.1% | 20 |
| Freistatt, MO 65654 | – | – | 4 |
| Halltown, MO 65664 | – | – | 70 |