Tonganoxie, KS 66086 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 29
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Home Value
$378,993
+4.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
29
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
61 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
20%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.3%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
31%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
56%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$130
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 56% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 4.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 8% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−7% vs. a year ago), close to pre-pandemic levels.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (29/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.7% below their final list price; 20% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 31% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $102k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,262 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $130 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +12% over the next 12 months (80% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.8% to +12.5% (80% range; middle estimate +5.5%), chance of a rise 80%, of a 5%+ drop 7%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Leavenworth County, KS
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leavenworth, KS 66048 | $264.6K | +4.5% | 27 |
| Lansing, KS 66043 | $327.2K | +4.9% | 18 |
| Bonner Springs, KS 66012 | $350.9K | +3.9% | 33 |
| Basehor, KS 66007 | $446K | +4.6% | 20 |
| ZIP 66027 | – | – | – |
| Linwood, KS 66052 | $461.8K | +8.0% | 75 |
| Easton, KS 66020 | $423.2K | +8.1% | 63 |