Chester, NE 68327 housing market

What this means

• Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (−3% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
• Prices. Home values are up 2.3% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), but still 13% below their 2022-23 peak.
• Supply. There are 100% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm, so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
• Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (14/100; U.S.: 54) (as of Jul 2026): homes typically sell at or above asking (102.9% of list) (as of May 2026); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
• Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 16% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $30k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,180 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
• Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $210 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from tornadoes, hail and wind.
• Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +12% over the next 12 months (77% chance of a rise).

Next 12 months

Leaning up

Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.5% to +11.8% (80% range; middle estimate +4.7%), chance of a rise 77%, of a 5%+ drop 9%.

HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.

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