Polk, NE 68654 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 54
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Home Value
$170,528
−1.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
54
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
70 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
91.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
22%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
48%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$202
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 48% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 1.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 0% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−67% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (54/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 8.9% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 22% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $48k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,280 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $202 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from tornadoes, hail and wind.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +11% over the next 12 months (73% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.6% to +10.8% (80% range; middle estimate +3.7%), chance of a rise 73%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Polk County, NE
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stromsburg, NE 68666 | $211.8K | +3.1% | 65 |
| Osceola, NE 68651 | $215.1K | −0.9% | 56 |
| Shelby, NE 68662 | $225.1K | +1.7% | 44 |
| Gresham, NE 68367 | $218.2K | +5.0% | 39 |