Aurora, NE 68818 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 62
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Home Value
$274,411
+6.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
62
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
69 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
21%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.9%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
27%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
53%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$189
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 53% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 6.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 106% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+9% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (62/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.1% below their final list price; 21% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 27% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $73k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,375 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $189 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from tornadoes, hail and wind.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (71% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.0% to +10.3% (80% range; middle estimate +3.3%), chance of a rise 71%, of a 5%+ drop 12%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Hamilton County, NE
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton, NE 68843 | $298.9K | +7.8% | 19 |
| Phillips, NE 68865 | $350.4K | +6.1% | 86 |
| Marquette, NE 68854 | $371.5K | +4.7% | 49 |
| Giltner, NE 68841 | $308.8K | +6.0% | 50 |
| Hordville, NE 68846 | $281.6K | +5.2% | 17 |