Chapman, NE 68827 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 0
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Home Value
$318,557
+8.3% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
0
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.0 months
Apr 2025
Days on Market
4 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Apr 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.6%
Jul 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
28%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
46%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$236
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 46% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 8.3% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 100% below the 2017-19 norm: still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (0/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.4% below their final list price (as of Jul 2026); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%) (as of Apr 2026).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 28% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $82k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,375 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $236 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (75% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.1% to +11.2% (80% range; middle estimate +4.1%), chance of a rise 75%, of a 5%+ drop 10%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Merrick County, NE
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central City, NE 68826 | $205.9K | +3.2% | 83 |
| Palmer, NE 68864 | $283.2K | +5.1% | 31 |
| Clarks, NE 68628 | $307.9K | +6.0% | 56 |
| Silver Creek, NE 68663 | $194.7K | −2.2% | 53 |
| Archer, NE 68816 | – | – | 2 |