Heartwell, NE 68959 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 38
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Home Value
$233,674
+7.0% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
38
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
51 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
22%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
28%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
46%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$185
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 46% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 7.0% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 20% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+140% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (38/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.0% below their final list price; 22% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 28% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $66k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,396 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $185 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from tornadoes, hail and wind.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +12% over the next 12 months (77% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.6% to +11.7% (80% range; middle estimate +4.7%), chance of a rise 77%, of a 5%+ drop 9%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Kearney County, NE
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Axtell, NE 68924 | $284.5K | +4.8% | 82 |
| Heartwell, NE 68945 | – | – | 15 |