New Orleans, LA 70116 housing market

What this means

• Valuation. Prices are 22% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
• Prices. Home values are up 5.1% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), but still 11% below their 2022-23 peak.
• Supply. There are 16% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−12% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
• Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (96/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 5.7% below their final list price; 13% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
• Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 51% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $88k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $4,990 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
• Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $544/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
• Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $370 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from hurricanes. Check insurance costs before buying.
• Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (73% chance of a rise).

Next 12 months

Leaning up

Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.4% to +10.9% (80% range; middle estimate +3.8%), chance of a rise 73%, of a 5%+ drop 10%.

HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.

Other ZIP codes in Orleans Parish, LA