Mena, AR 71953 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 87
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Home Value
$201,695
+3.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
87
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
10.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
74 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
14%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
92.9%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
28%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
32%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$152
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 32% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 6% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+7% vs. a year ago), close to pre-pandemic levels.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (87/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 7.1% below their final list price; 14% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 28% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $49k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,519 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $152 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +11% over the next 12 months (72% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.7% to +10.6% (80% range; middle estimate +3.6%), chance of a rise 72%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Polk County, AR
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cove, AR 71937 | $175.7K | +0.3% | 71 |
| Hatfield, AR 71945 | – | – | 98 |
| Grannis, AR 71944 | – | – | 59 |
| Wickes, AR 71973 | – | – | 86 |
| Vandervoort, AR 71972 | – | – | 55 |