Shirley, AR 72153 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 90
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Home Value
$184,674
+3.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
90
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
74 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
31%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
27%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
11%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$221
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 11% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 9% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+67% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (90/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.3% below their final list price; 31% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 27% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $46k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $221 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (65% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.0% to +9.3% (80% range; middle estimate +2.3%), chance of a rise 65%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Van Buren County, AR
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clinton, AR 72031 | $177.7K | +2.0% | 52 |
| Fairfield Bay, AR 72088 | $145K | +0.2% | 98 |
| Bee Branch, AR 72013 | $234.7K | +5.6% | 89 |
| Scotland, AR 72141 | – | – | 52 |
| Jerusalem, AR 72080 | – | – | 66 |
| Dennard, AR 72629 | – | – | 82 |
| Choctaw, AR 72028 | – | – | 19 |