Bay, AR 72411 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 54
Open on the mapMarket report (PDF)Compare
Home Value
$142,000
+6.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
54
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
10.7 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
76 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
102.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
21%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
17%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$182
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 17% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 6.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 80% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm, so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (54/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (102.2% of list); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 21% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $38k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,809 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $182 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from earthquakes.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +11% over the next 12 months (73% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.6% to +10.7% (80% range; middle estimate +3.6%), chance of a rise 73%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
Follow Bay, AR 72411
One email a month: what changed in prices, supply and the outlook. Unsubscribe any time.
Other ZIP codes in Craighead County, AR
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonesboro, AR 72401 | $190.1K | +2.5% | 80 |
| Jonesboro, AR 72404 | $266.7K | +4.1% | 33 |
| Jonesboro, AR 72405 | – | – | 47 |
| Brookland, AR 72417 | $233.3K | +5.0% | 79 |
| Bono, AR 72416 | $208.7K | +5.2% | 72 |
| Lake City, AR 72437 | $168.4K | +5.7% | 61 |
| Monette, AR 72447 | $164.2K | +8.8% | 82 |
| Caraway, AR 72419 | $122.9K | −1.7% | 66 |
| State University, AR 72467 | – | – | – |
| Cash, AR 72421 | – | – | 6 |
| Black Oak, AR 72414 | – | – | 76 |
| ZIP 72427 | – | – | 82 |