Pauls Valley, OK 73075 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 77
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Home Value
$153,982
+5.6% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
77
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.7 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
83 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
20%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.9%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
24%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
52%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$255
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 52% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 5.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 0% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm, so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (77/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.1% below their final list price; 20% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 24% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $43k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,523 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $255 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (73% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.5% to +10.8% (80% range; middle estimate +3.8%), chance of a rise 73%, of a 5%+ drop 10%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Garvin County, OK
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay, OK 73052 | $150.9K | +2.0% | 84 |
| Wynnewood, OK 73098 | $161.9K | +1.3% | 96 |
| Stratford, OK 74872 | $192.6K | +5.3% | 41 |
| Katie, OK 73433 | $190.2K | +8.0% | 76 |
| Maysville, OK 73057 | $136.1K | +5.6% | 72 |
| Paoli, OK 73074 | $150.1K | +9.2% | 3 |