Castle, OK 74010 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 29
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Home Value
$197,913
+3.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
29
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
65 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
11%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
28%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
29%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$165
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 29% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 18% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−28% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (29/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.0% of list); 11% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 28% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $52k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,148 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $165 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +13% over the next 12 months (81% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.7% to +12.6% (80% range; middle estimate +5.6%), chance of a rise 81%, of a 5%+ drop 7%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Creek County, OK
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sapulpa, OK 74066 | $219K | +4.8% | 40 |
| Mannford, OK 74044 | $229.1K | +3.1% | 77 |
| Kellyville, OK 74039 | $228.9K | +5.6% | 63 |
| Kiefer, OK 74041 | $248.8K | +3.7% | 76 |
| Drumright, OK 74030 | $121.4K | +1.1% | 33 |
| Tulsa, OK 74131 | $284.1K | +6.9% | 21 |
| Drumright, OK 74038 | $225.2K | +6.7% | 99 |
| Depew, OK 74028 | $250.8K | +9.3% | 0 |
| Oilton, OK 74052 | – | – | 13 |
| ZIP 74050 | – | – | 67 |
| ZIP 74071 | – | – | – |
| ZIP 74068 | – | – | – |
| ZIP 74046 | – | – | – |