Warner, OK 74469 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 80
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Home Value
$171,135
+2.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
80
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
6.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
49 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
31%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.9%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
25%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
41%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$183
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 41% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 69% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+80% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (80/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.1% below their final list price; 31% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 25% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $45k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,137 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $183 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +10% over the next 12 months (67% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.7% to +9.6% (80% range; middle estimate +2.6%), chance of a rise 67%, of a 5%+ drop 13%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Muskogee County, OK
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muskogee, OK 74403 | $158.4K | +4.1% | 71 |
| Muskogee, OK 74401 | $125K | +5.7% | 78 |
| Fort Gibson, OK 74434 | $232.5K | +3.3% | 60 |
| Haskell, OK 74436 | $213K | +4.1% | 68 |
| Porum, OK 74455 | $214.7K | +5.4% | 90 |
| Taft, OK 74463 | – | – | – |
| Warner, OK 74450 | $236.1K | +8.9% | 56 |
| Webbers Falls, OK 74470 | $194.9K | +5.9% | 2 |
| Braggs, OK 74423 | – | – | 61 |
| Boynton, OK 74422 | $203.1K | +4.4% | 22 |
| ZIP 74468 | – | – | 56 |