Welling, OK 74471 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 32
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Home Value
$212,125
+11.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
32
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
9.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
47 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
94.4%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
35%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
90%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$163
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 90% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 11.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 73% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−67% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (32/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 5.6% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 35% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $53k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,892 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $163 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −3% to +13% over the next 12 months (82% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.2% to +13.2% (80% range; middle estimate +6.1%), chance of a rise 82%, of a 5%+ drop 6%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Cherokee County, OK
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tahlequah, OK 74464 | $203.1K | +9.2% | 42 |
| Hulbert, OK 74441 | $219.3K | +8.3% | 26 |
| Pettit, OK 74451 | $234K | +9.0% | 82 |
| Cookson, OK 74427 | $259.9K | +6.5% | 49 |
| Proctor, OK 74457 | $204.1K | +6.1% | 86 |
| Peggs, OK 74452 | $199.4K | +10.1% | 29 |