Shawnee, OK 74804 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 59
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Home Value
$228,665
+2.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
59
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.9 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
65 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
23%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
27%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,208/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
26%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$151
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 26% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 22% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+13% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (59/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.8% below their final list price; 23% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 27% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $61k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,270 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $319/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $151 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (66% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −6.8% to +9.5% (80% range; middle estimate +2.4%), chance of a rise 66%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Pottawatomie County, OK
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shawnee, OK 74801 | $136.8K | +1.2% | 75 |
| McLoud, OK 74851 | $234.9K | +3.6% | 68 |
| Pink, OK 74873 | $171.3K | +5.0% | 50 |
| Maud, OK 74854 | $122.5K | +1.5% | 99 |
| Wanette, OK 74878 | $218.4K | +3.2% | 68 |
| Macomb, OK 74852 | $217.6K | +5.1% | 9 |
| Asher, OK 74826 | $186.1K | +9.3% | 99 |
| ZIP 74866 | – | – | – |