Mill Creek, OK 74856 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 79
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Home Value
$161,672
+10.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
79
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.0 months
Mar 2024
Days on Market
92 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
50.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
21%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
63%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$188
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 63% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 10.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 0% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm, so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (79/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 50.0% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 21% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $43k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,169 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $188 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +12% over the next 12 months (79% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.1% to +12.2% (80% range; middle estimate +5.2%), chance of a rise 79%, of a 5%+ drop 8%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Johnston County, OK
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tishomingo, OK 73460 | $158.2K | +11.4% | 55 |
| Milburn, OK 73450 | $217.8K | +14.2% | 61 |
| Mannsville, OK 73447 | $174.3K | +13.1% | 37 |
| Coleman, OK 73432 | $273.3K | +10.6% | 85 |
| Wapanucka, OK 73461 | $185.1K | +14.2% | 78 |
| ZIP 73455 | – | – | 17 |
| Kenefic, OK 74748 | $229.6K | +5.8% | 89 |
| ZIP 74530 | – | – | 17 |
| ZIP 74836 | – | – | 35 |