Prosper, TX 75078 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 87
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Home Value
$732,560
−5.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
87
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
73 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
37%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
30%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$2,011/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
19%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$126
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 19% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 5.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 13% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 8% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+11% vs. a year ago), close to pre-pandemic levels.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (87/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.9% below their final list price; 37% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 30% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $195k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $3,262 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $2,864/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $126 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (51% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.1% to +7.2% (80% range; middle estimate +0.1%), chance of a rise 51%, of a 5%+ drop 21%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Collin County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frisco, TX 75035 | $627.3K | −6.1% | 77 |
| Allen, TX 75002 | $450.2K | −5.8% | 67 |
| McKinney, TX 75071 | $474.3K | −6.1% | 75 |
| Wylie, TX 75098 | $415.1K | −5.5% | 77 |
| McKinney, TX 75070 | $468.6K | −5.5% | 54 |
| McKinney, TX 75072 | $507.3K | −5.2% | 52 |
| Dallas, TX 75287 | $457.9K | −3.0% | 72 |
| Plano, TX 75074 | $359.6K | −5.0% | 81 |
| Frisco, TX 75034 | $662.4K | −1.7% | 67 |
| Plano, TX 75025 | $541.9K | −4.3% | 53 |
| Allen, TX 75013 | $640.1K | −4.0% | 58 |
| Plano, TX 75023 | $410.9K | −3.6% | 61 |
| Plano, TX 75093 | $732.4K | −1.6% | 35 |
| Plano, TX 75024 | $623.9K | −2.9% | 55 |
| McKinney, TX 75069 | $412.9K | −4.2% | 76 |
| Plano, TX 75075 | $450.8K | −3.7% | 72 |
| Celina, TX 75009 | $515.7K | −9.2% | 94 |
| Princeton, TX 75407 | $282.7K | −10.2% | 76 |
| Richardson, TX 75082 | $537.6K | −3.5% | 58 |
| Dallas, TX 75252 | $604.8K | −1.5% | 49 |
| Anna, TX 75409 | $336.2K | −7.0% | 90 |
| Murphy, TX 75094 | $563.2K | −4.2% | 72 |
| Melissa, TX 75454 | $422.6K | −5.8% | 88 |
| Farmersville, TX 75442 | $333.6K | −4.1% | 88 |
| Lavon, TX 75173 | $333.9K | −5.2% | 97 |
| Lavon, TX 75166 | $340.9K | −7.7% | 91 |
| Blue Ridge, TX 75424 | $441.2K | +1.0% | 85 |
| ZIP 75164 | – | – | 26 |