Ferris, TX 75125 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 83
Open on the mapMarket report (PDF)Compare
Home Value
$291,047
−0.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
83
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.9 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
83 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
20%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
30%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
23%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$89
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 23% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 0.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 11% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 284% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm, so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (83/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.8% below their final list price; 20% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 30% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $79k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,603 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $89 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (52% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.1% to +7.3% (80% range; middle estimate +0.2%), chance of a rise 52%, of a 5%+ drop 21%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
Follow Ferris, TX 75125
One email a month: what changed in prices, supply and the outlook. Unsubscribe any time.
Other ZIP codes in Ellis County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waxahachie, TX 75165 | $349K | −1.7% | 72 |
| Red Oak, TX 75154 | $348.7K | −1.9% | 79 |
| Midlothian, TX 76065 | $456.2K | −0.4% | 81 |
| Ennis, TX 75119 | $264.9K | −2.0% | 77 |
| Waxahachie, TX 75167 | $504.7K | +0.3% | 79 |
| Palmer, TX 75152 | $321.3K | −0.1% | 63 |
| Italy, TX 76651 | $260.2K | +1.7% | 79 |
| Maypearl, TX 76064 | $375.1K | +2.3% | 36 |
| Italy, TX 76670 | $257.8K | +0.9% | 81 |
| ZIP 75101 | – | – | 89 |
| Forreston, TX 76041 | – | – | 55 |
| Avalon, TX 76623 | – | – | 13 |