Trinity, TX 75862 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 99
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Home Value
$163,717
−5.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
99
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
10.3 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
81 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
32%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
27%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,550/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
3.7%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$133
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+4% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are down 5.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 13% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 31% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−8% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (99/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.9% below their final list price; 32% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 27% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $47k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,270 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $365/mo less than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $133 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (51% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.2% to +7.1% (80% range; middle estimate +0.1%), chance of a rise 51%, of a 5%+ drop 21%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Trinity County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Groveton, TX 75845 | $210.6K | −0.7% | 25 |
| Apple Springs, TX 75926 | $239.8K | −2.8% | 60 |
| ZIP 75865 | – | – | 72 |