Jasper, TX 75951 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 98
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Home Value
$172,471
−3.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
98
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
25.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
104 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
17%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
94.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
27%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-19%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$178
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 19% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are down 3.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 26% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 4% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−7% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (98/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 6.0% below their final list price; 17% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 27% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $48k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,036 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $178 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (49% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A fall is somewhat more likely than a rise, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.3% to +7.0% (80% range; middle estimate 0.0%), chance of a rise 49%, of a 5%+ drop 22%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Jasper County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buna, TX 77612 | $227.9K | +0.1% | 87 |
| Kirbyville, TX 75956 | $179.1K | −5.2% | 95 |
| Brookeland, TX 75931 | $269.1K | −0.1% | 99 |
| Evadale, TX 77615 | $196.4K | −4.1% | 58 |