Cleburne, TX 76031 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 78
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Home Value
$277,504
−2.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
78
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.1 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
86 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
17%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
32%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,873/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
56%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$98
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 56% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 2.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 8% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 115% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−12% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (78/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.5% below their final list price; 17% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 32% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $75k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,270 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Owning and renting a typical home cost about the same per month.
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $98 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (56% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.5% to +7.8% (80% range; middle estimate +0.8%), chance of a rise 56%, of a 5%+ drop 19%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Johnson County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burleson, TX 76028 | $338.1K | −0.9% | 59 |
| Cleburne, TX 76033 | $270.3K | −2.6% | 64 |
| Alvarado, TX 76009 | $318K | +0.2% | 83 |
| Joshua, TX 76058 | $356.6K | −0.4% | 65 |
| Venus, TX 76084 | $389.7K | −1.7% | 75 |
| Godley, TX 76044 | $431.9K | −0.4% | 87 |
| Grandview, TX 76050 | $406.7K | +3.8% | 89 |
| Keene, TX 76059 | $254.3K | −2.6% | 66 |
| Rio Vista, TX 76093 | $294.5K | −0.8% | 85 |
| Lillian, TX 76061 | – | – | – |