Alvord, TX 76225 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 74
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Home Value
$363,461
+1.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
74
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
83 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
16%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.4%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
35%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
52%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$102
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 52% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 200% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−43% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (74/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.6% below their final list price; 16% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 35% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $97k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,827 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $102 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (64% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.2% to +9.1% (80% range; middle estimate +2.1%), chance of a rise 64%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Wise County, TX
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Decatur, TX 76234 | $431.1K | +1.1% | 86 |
| Chico, TX 76426 | $286.2K | −1.9% | 88 |
| Rhome, TX 76078 | $367.6K | −1.4% | 82 |
| Paradise, TX 76073 | $454.1K | 0.0% | 93 |
| Boyd, TX 76023 | $371.9K | −0.9% | 69 |
| Newark, TX 76071 | $300.8K | −3.5% | 91 |
| Chico, TX 76431 | $363.7K | +0.5% | 75 |
| ZIP 76267 | – | – | 51 |